The times that try men's souls. . .
Consumer confidence is above expectations: 83.0 expected, 84.1 delivered. Yet, Ford and Amazon performance is below expectations; Ukraine situation still teetering between two unknowns; new unemployment enrollees up more than anticipated by approximately 4% last month; the world still swimming in doubt; and, US markets opening strongly down; bouncing, yet still three digits off early afternoon at an approximate 0.23% decline. (Dow ended the day off 0.85%; NASDAQ, -1.75%; S&P, -0.81%.)
Who's looking after the real world nowadays?
Not too long ago Greg Mankiw felt compelled to defend the extraction of money from circulating media out of proportion to benefits realized. The reference is to the increasing disparity between allocations to top level wealth and what remains to be divided between those occupying the real world.
First project post Veteran Lender's entry here, very a propos in view of the color of nearly every world market, and Bloomberg's menacing blood red futures.
Submitted by Veteran_Lender on Fri, 04/11/2014 - 06:31.
“There is nothing new but that which is forgotten” Mlle Bertin.
“There is nothing new but that which is forgotten” Mlle Bertin.
- USD down against everything but The Phillipine's and India's currency:
- All major markets in advance of US openings in the red;
- Ahead of the vote of US regulators - Banks will be subject to new 6% requirement;
- Gold takes a sudden jump of 13.2 - and rising?; and,
- We await the test of the waters in consumer sentiments.
What is a business cycle?
Paul Krugman's NYTimes article today, Rube Goldberg Survives, celebrates the fact that Affordable(?) Care has passed the targeted milestone. The goal had been 7 million participants and as of now 7.1 million have complied.
Reuters reports “Recent Business News” April 2, 2014
When Wesley Clair Mitchell was elected president of the American Statistical Association back in the twenties, this observation was included in his address:
Watch the 14 minute, 43 second segment of 60 Minutes that discusses the techniques and how it has been counter-attacked - a trick that delays transmission just long enough to level the playing field.
Yesterday, Wednesday, March 26, 2014, the trading day opened with Bloomberg futures in double digit positive territory after fluctuating through the previous night. The bell rang and the US indices shot up optimistically.
A translation of text from the website of “State Administration of Science, Technology and Industry for National Defense, PRC”
With global stock markets all in red, Ukraine's interim Prime Minister in Washington and New York to address the threatened Civil War, and alert everyone to a possible Russian intervention, China not resolving its Credit problems and now the Japanese people realizing the downside of the Abe program (With extended pressure exerted to move the yen downward, sooner or later the currency should rebound as it did against the USD.)
Hal M. Bundrick, cited here previously for other articles, writing for Mainstreet.com, headlines a recent article with Edward Snowden's declaration that "I took an oath to support the Constitution". This was a videotaped presentation direct from his safe haven in - of all places "the current defender of liberty and free speech", Russia! Through that coupling, both Snowden and Russia are collaborating with the American Civil Liberties Union at an ACLU sponsored convention in Austin, Texas.
In the blog section in the Reuters website, this short, little morsel was found. A chart accompanied it which showed the upward thrust of the margin borrowing since 2005, with the previous high point experienced about the time of that fateful French explosion that set off the current crisis, August 9th, 2007.
Perhaps it's necessary to revisit subjects periodically. Given the constant change in our readership, or the busy, full days of those interested in the economics and finances of the business world, daily chores tend to wipe out lessons which should not be forgotten. A review of what has already been considered might enhance some of the entries that follow.
At 9:20 AM global market activity is in the red solidly, still the futures for the US indices are moderating. They have been easing through the night and while Europe and Asia are pondering China and its effect on the future, the bulls on Wall Street are attempting to push our equities forward.
Wandering through the 'net about a month ago brought me to a site whose name and address I hadn't the foresight to record. They evaluated active websites. It was only natural to look up Duffminster Times. Value placed on the site was $48 US! Divided three ways between the three persistent parties writing here makes us each worth $16. A pittance in times past.
Thursday, January 30, 2014, Reuters ran an article by Jonathan Spicer and Ann Saphir entitled "Analysis: Only time will define Bernanke's crisis-era legacy at the Fed". Opinion could change the presumption in the "only time will define Ben's legacy" phrasing. His legacy has already been carved in stone and not much can be done to change it. The question may be whether we've taken the time to understand what he's done the past eight years.
The title of the latest - and an irresistibly suggestive paper from O&G's viewpoint -
Olivier Blanchard, 27 January 2014
This is the center of our egocentric universe at this time.
Submitted by Old and Gray on Thu, 01/09/2014 - 11:16
This is a fitting spot for an entry which will close off this series on Central banks and Monetary Policy, carried over from the tsunami thread from June 6th, 2010, which offers an opinion of the section which empowers the Fed to perform its duties and - if interpretation is correct - describes the limits of the Fed's authority.
Closure for the Central Bank and Monetary Policy series.
Link to the full entry -
Sunday past, DOD Information Service in Ohio was tracking O&G consistently. Nothing unusual.
Monday, from first attempt to reach common net sites, an unknown CLOUDFLARE blasted onto the monitor, full screen, with the message - "ERROR 522 - connection timed out - access denied".
Wednesday and still categorically restricted to very few net sites - Duffminster's and a few others. But, without other access to the outside world such as news sources. etc. it's pointless to continue.
September 12, 2013 O&G posted an entry in his Corner entitled, A Bypath on the Road to Evolution of Economics As a Science relative to economics since Adam Smith’s initial study of Wealth – in his Wealth of Nations. Since 1776 there have been several attempts to steer economists’ interest in the direction of the entire population rather than restricting it to wealth and the wealthy.
[Mitchell’s 1913 focus was on four nations during the period under study, Germany, Britain, France and the United States. It is extensive and will not be critiqued here to save time for his later work (1927 and 1946). Instead, a summary review focusing on the value of the work is called for. This is the simpler route due to Mitchell’s accommodating habit, that of an educator, of planting small summaries - serving as signposts - throughout the work, apparently to ease the load on the over-worked businessman an essential part of his intended audience.]
This overdue work in progress will be pasted piece meal as developed in O&G's blogsite withthe lead paragraph posted here as an indicator of progress.
URL for the location of the latest entry
A November 25th Guardian article expands on a view often cited in the tsunami thread: No matter what law specifies, the clever business crowd will find a means to circumvent the letter of the law. Thus, it is impossible, where such lax business morality prevails, to force business into legal business and much less likely ethical behavior. What amplifies the underlying arrogance is the casual acceptance of this as normal business practice by authorities.
First: the Forum topic above is a misnomer; it should read "Economists and the global systems". Additionally it is an extension of the comment O&G submitted November 18, 2013, The Thought is Spreading in the William-Dudley-and-the-TBTF thread in which he referenced a Paul Krugman article which lauded Larry Summers for his clarity in analyzing the global situation. That comment is linked here -
Reuters featured this headline.
Fri Nov 22, 2013 11:21am EST
(Reuters) - A unit of Caterpillar Inc (CAT.N) is being probed by federal investigators to determine if it had dumped train parts into the ocean off California as part of a scam to charge customers for parts they didn't need, the Wall Street Journal reported.
In the main, in line with the rustling noticed earlier, uncertainty is reflected in Reuters headlines at 8:18 AM.