Operation Twist and the Real Deal on Gold and Silver – Great Article from Zero Hedge
I love Zero Hedge because for the most part (comments aside) their analysis (in the main) is zero bullshit. This article cuts through all the massively over simplified dilutions of the mainstream media coverage on the gold and silver action and the Fed policy actions. If you are trying to protect your wealth from the corruption of empire and the insanity of debt gone wild, then you will probably benefit from reading this entire article at Zero Hedge. I'll excerpt a bit for you here and provide the link below. By the way, I didn't sell silver or gold today despite the massive manipulation in the markets by the masters of MOPE. In the meantime I haven't heard anything about how soon Venezuela can expect to receive their physical gold from London. Why do expect the answer may be "never."
"…Whether the Fed will upgrade QE2.5, or "ZIRP through mid-2013", to QE3, or Operation Twist, the form we have been predicting it would take since May (and here), is still unknown: very few people know what Bernanke will say on Friday, minutes after the first revision to Q2 GDP reveals a sub-1% number. What is known is that while cross-asset correlation has soared over the past few days, the biggest driver of stocks over the past few days has been nothing but the 2s10s30s butterfly, which in turn is driven by On and Off rumblings of Bernanke doing the Twist. And here is the rub: when the Fed announces Twist it will be extending duration, it effectively means selling everything 10 Year and older (yes, QE3 could very well be LSAD or Large Scale Asset Dumping instead of LSAP). The goal of this action: make the 2s10s will go vertical and to pancake the 10s30s: a move that the butterfly is now indicating it is once again pricing in – today alone we have seen a massive 15 steepening in the butterfly: a nearly 20% move in the curve. It also explains why gold is being sold off today, because simplistic investors believe that without an actual balance sheet expansion, the Fed will not be diluting paper. Completely wrong: it will merely do so synthetically, from a duration basis. Furthermore, the market will very soon read through the Fed's intention which will be predicated entirely on asset rotation and not on incremental fiat capital. The final outcome will be QE4 where the Fed will have to match the synthetic duration extension with actual cash bond deliverables, namely monetizing bonds, a move which will be even more critical once the deficit spend starts soaring again in the next 3 months. And when it does, it will have to do so double time, to make up not only for previous synthetic exposure extension, but for future priced in moves. In other words, nothing has changed, and we fully expect stocks to soar if indeed Bernanke mentions "duration extension", together with yet another gold dump. The issue is that Op Twist in the proposed format would be physically limited by the amount of 10 Year+ bonds held in the Fed's SOMA. At last check it was not that many at all. So any surge in stocks will be albeit both painfully transitory…."
Filed under Uncategorized by on Aug 24th, 2011. Comment.
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Comments on Operation Twist and the Real Deal on Gold and Silver – Great Article from Zero Hedge
I think the asset rotation theory is correct. In turn, everyone will already know what this portends as the faultering economy sends debt and deficit soaring and that will cause the Fed to shortly have to bring the real QE, cash purchases to the table in short order.
In other words Jackson Hole is just another operation in putting of the inevitable moneitization of debt that will have to be done in rather short order to prevent a systemic global meltdown of the banking system.
If Bernanke had the balls he'd just come flat out and say we will buy anything and everything and let the party keep going cause the Fed is here to stay.
Not going to happen. I expect volatility again and a great buying opportunity in gold and silver, a short market pop in the Dow and a little more downside in gold and silver and the best entry point you'll get in 2011.